Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Preview
Sunday at Wells Fargo Center
Our Pick: Thunder -14

The Oklahoma City Thunder (winners of 29 of their last 13 ATS opportunities) face off against a Portland Trail Blazers squad that, despite four straight wins, remains below average on both ends. The Thunder rank among the league’s best in cover percentage, exceeding 70%. Meanwhile, Portland’s offense (107.8 ppg on 44.9% shooting) often struggles against quality opponents, and missing Matisse Thybulle and Deandre Ayton further diminishes their already shaky defense.

On the flip side, the Thunder put up 116.6 points per game while holding opponents to just 104.3 on 43.1% shooting—a testament to their stout defense. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32 ppg) leads a high-energy group that consistently grabs momentum in transition. Even with some roster absences, the Thunder’s depth and disciplined approach have delivered strong results on the road, particularly against teams with losing records. Historically, Oklahoma City has won 14 consecutive games against Trail Blazers squads under .500, showing they capitalize on mismatches.

The Blazers have enjoyed success as underdogs within the Northwest Division, but this matchup presents a significant test. Oklahoma City’s success covering double-digit favorites underscores how they maintain leads. If Portland can’t keep pace offensively—especially when their defense is prone to lapses—the Thunder could run away with this contest early.

Despite Portland’s recent hot streak, count on the Thunder’s balanced scoring, stout defense, and stellar track record against inferior teams to lead them to a comfortable victory. Expect Oklahoma City to cover the -14 spread in a convincing road win.