NBA Game Picks & Analysis
New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Knicks (26-15) at 76ers (15-23)
Wednesday, 7 p.m. ET
Our Pick: 76ers +5.5
Philadelphia hopes to end a three-game skid behind Tyrese Maxey’s playmaking (5.8 apg) and a solid home-court effort. While New York’s high-powered offense (117.2 ppg on 49.6% shooting) can be tough to contain, the 76ers (44.8% FG) have enough balance and defensive spark to keep this matchup close.
Look for Philadelphia to capitalize on any Knicks lapses and cover the +5.5 spread at home.
Boston Celtics vs. Toronto Raptors
Celtics (28-11) at Raptors (9-31)
Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Raptors +14
Toronto hosts Boston in an Atlantic Division battle, featuring RJ Barrett (5.8 apg) propelling the Raptors’ league-sixth 28.7 assists per game. While the Celtics boast one of the NBA’s top offenses (118.0 ppg), Toronto’s scoring (111.0 ppg) and defensive grit at home can keep things within reach.
With a hefty +14 spread, the Raptors’ ball movement and Jakob Poeltl’s inside efficiency (60.5% FG) give them a solid chance to stay closer than expected. Look for Toronto to fight hard and cover.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Chicago Bulls
Hawks (20-19) at Bulls (18-22)
Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Bulls -6
Chicago hosts Atlanta after Trae Young exploded for 43 in a Hawks win. The Bulls (15-13 vs. the East) rely on Nikola Vucevic (20.3 ppg, 10.2 rpg) and outscore teams by nearly 121 points a night over their last 10.
Atlanta gives up 119.8 points, and while they excel in fast-break scoring, Chicago’s balanced offense and home-court momentum suggest the Bulls will cover the -6 spread in a high-scoring affair.
Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Magic (23-18) at Bucks (21-17)
Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Magic +6
Milwaukee (17-15 in the East) scores 113.1 points on 47.9% shooting, led by Damian Lillard’s 24.8 ppg. However, Orlando (19-11 vs. the East) holds opponents to just 46.4% from the field and outscores them by 1.6 points per game.
Even without some key players, Jalen Suggs (16.4 ppg, 1.5 spg) can spark the Magic’s disciplined defense and keep this game tight. Expect Orlando to cover the +6 spread on the road.
Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Mavericks (22-18) at Pelicans (9-32)
Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Mavericks +1.5
Dallas visits New Orleans aiming to end a four-game road skid. Despite that, the Mavericks (4-3 in division play) do a solid job limiting mistakes (13.7 turnovers per game) and typically fare well when committing fewer turnovers than their opponents (7-6 record).
Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 0-6 within the division and allow an average of 117.1 points—slightly more than the Mavs’ 115.6 points per contest. Even with key injuries on both sides, Dallas’s disciplined approach and potential for efficient scoring make them a strong pick to cover the +1.5 spread.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. San Antonio Spurs
Grizzlies (25-15) at Spurs (18-19)
Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Spurs +2.5
San Antonio tries to snap a three-game skid, relying on Chris Paul’s 8.3 assists per contest to drive an offense hitting 45.5% from the floor—slightly better than Memphis typically allows (44.8%). Meanwhile, the Grizzlies (48.1 rebounds per game) can dominate the glass, but the Spurs’ efficient ball movement (28.7 assists per game) and strong home-court energy give them a solid chance to keep this battle close.
Expect San Antonio’s offensive flow and Chris Paul’s leadership to help them cover the +2.5 spread.
Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets
Rockets (26-12) at Nuggets (24-15)
Wednesday, 9 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Nuggets ML
Denver welcomes Houston after Jamal Murray’s 45-point explosion in a 118-99 win over Dallas. The Nuggets—8-2 in their last 10—boast a potent offense (122.3 ppg in that stretch) and a strong conference record (16-10).
Though Houston dominates the glass (NBA-best 48.6 rebounds), Denver’s balanced scoring and recent momentum make the home team a solid moneyline bet in this Western Conference showdown.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Utah Jazz
Hornets (8-28) at Jazz (10-28)
Wednesday, 9 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Jazz +5
Utah aims to capitalize on its recent 112-111 overtime win over Brooklyn. Despite a 3-14 home record, the Jazz can rely on Collin Sexton’s scoring (18.2 ppg) and a surprising edge at the three-point line (13.9 makes per game, just above Charlotte’s allowance of 13.7).
Meanwhile, the Hornets (2-15 on the road) struggle on offense (41.6% shooting over their last 10) and surrender 112.4 points, leading to a 1-9 skid. Look for Utah’s ability to generate timely threes and momentum at home to keep things close and cover the +5 spread.
Golden State Warriors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Warriors (19-20) at Timberwolves (21-18)
Wednesday, 9:30 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Warriors +6.5
Minnesota rides high after Anthony Edwards’ 41-point outburst, boasting a 16-11 mark against the West. However, Golden State thrives on second-chance points (fourth in the league at 12.7 offensive boards), thanks to Kevon Looney.
Though the Wolves outscore opponents by 2.0 points per game, the Warriors’ three-point attack (15.0 makes per game) can keep this tight. Expect Stephen Curry’s shooting and Looney’s rebounding to help Golden State cover the +6.5 spread.
Miami Heat vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Heat (20-18) at Lakers (20-16)
Wednesday, 10 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Lakers -5
Miami (10-11 on the road) heads to L.A. with a tough task against a Lakers team that’s solid at home (12-5). Anthony Davis (25.8 ppg, 11.9 rpg, 2.1 bpg) anchors Los Angeles’s balanced attack, which outscores opponents by 2.3 points compared to the Heat’s defense.
Even though Tyler Herro (24 ppg) drives Miami’s offense, the Heat are just 2-6 in games decided by fewer than four points. Expect the Lakers’ home-court advantage and Davis’s inside dominance to secure a win and cover the -5 spread.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Nets (14-26) at Clippers (21-17)
Wednesday, 10:30 p.m. ET
Our Pick: Clippers -13.5
Los Angeles, winners of four straight at home, boasts a strong defensive rebounding presence (33.5 per game), led by Ivica Zubac (8.9 rpg). Meanwhile, Brooklyn—just 2-8 in its last 10—averages 107.9 points, slightly below the Clippers’ 108.1 allowed.
With James Harden (21.5 ppg, 7.9 apg) driving a balanced Clippers attack, expect L.A. to dominate on both ends and cover the -13.5 spread against a Nets squad struggling to find consistency.
