MLB Game Picks & Analysis
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
In a thrilling Subway Series clash, the Mets surged to a 9-7 victory over the Yankees in Tuesday’s opener, fueled by their potent lineup and resilient bullpen. With a 10-2 record since mid-June and a strong home-field advantage, winning five of their last six in such matchups at Citi Field, the Mets are riding high. Tonight features a showdown between Luis Gil (9-2, 2.77 ERA) for the Yankees and Sean Manaea (4-3, 4.16 ERA) for the Mets. Despite recent struggles, the algorithm favors the Mets’ momentum and home advantage, projecting another strong performance in this pivotal matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Nolan Gorman, despite a .195 batting average, ranks in the top 5% of MLB hitters in barrel rate with 16 home runs this season. Against Reynaldo Lopez and his deceptive 1.57 ERA, Gorman’s power gives the St. Louis Cardinals a strong chance to cover the +1.5 run spread predicted by algorithms. His ability to capitalize on matchups against right-handed pitchers makes him a pivotal factor in today’s game.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox
Tonight’s game between the Chicago White Sox and Los Angeles Dodgers hinges on Erick Fedde’s performance. Despite a strong 3.05 ERA and excellent control, the White Sox have struggled in Fedde’s recent starts, losing six of his last seven outings. However, Fedde has a perfect 0.00 ERA in two career games against the Dodgers, hinting at his potential to stifle their offense.
Facing Gavin Stone, who has been solid but has shown vulnerability in interleague play, the algorithm predicts the White Sox to cover the +1.5 run spread tonight. Fedde’s ability to maintain his command and capitalize on his history against Los Angeles gives Chicago a strong chance to keep the game close, even against a formidable opponent like the Dodgers
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants
Hayden Birdsong makes his MLB debut on the mound tonight for the San Francisco Giants against the Cubs. Despite his rookie status, the Giants’ lineup is anchored by Matt Chapman (.234 AVG, 9 HRs), Thairo Estrada (39 RBIs), Jorge Soler (.224 AVG, 9 HRs), and Patrick Bailey (.295 AVG, 6 HRs). The algorithm predicts the Giants to cover the +1.5 run spread, relying on their lineup’s depth and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities against the Cubs.
