Jazz vs. Warriors – Preview
Monday, 10:00pm ET • Chase Center
Our Pick: Warriors -13.5

The Utah Jazz visit the Golden State Warriors tonight, Monday, Nov. 24, 2025, at Chase Center in a matchup where Golden State is laying a hefty -13.5. Most books have this line in the Warriors -14 to -14.5 range, underscoring how heavily the market leans toward the home side. 

The records help explain it. Golden State sits at 9–9 overall and 5–1 at home, while Utah is just 5–11 and a brutal 1–6 on the road.  The Jazz are also in a tough scheduling spot, flying to San Francisco after a draining 108–106 home loss to the Lakers last night, where they nearly erased a double-digit deficit before falling short. 

From a matchup standpoint, this is where Golden State has a real chance to stretch the margin. The Warriors are scoring 114.8 points per game this season, powered by Stephen Curry’s 27.4 points per night, his highest average since 2022–23.  Utah’s defense has been one of the league’s worst again; the Jazz are allowing 125.0 points per game overall (29th in opponent scoring) and 120.43 points per game on the road.  Even when they compete, they often bleed points for long stretches, making them especially vulnerable to the Warriors’ trademark third-quarter runs.

Despite Golden State’s recent three-game skid and Jimmy Butler’s blunt criticism that they’re “not guarding nobody,” this is still a top-10 defense in overall defensive rating (112.2), suggesting their ceiling on that end remains high.  With the grueling early-season schedule (17 games in 13 cities) finally easing and a five-game homestand beginning, Steve Kerr has emphasized using this stretch to clean up execution on both ends. 

Draymond Green and Al Horford being out does hurt Golden State’s frontcourt depth, but it also means more minutes for younger, high-energy bigs like Trayce Jackson-Davis and Quinten Post against a Jazz team that already struggles to get consistent stops. 

Put it together: a strong home team (5–1 at Chase), an exhausted 1–6 road opponent with the league’s second-worst scoring defense, and a motivated Warriors group starting a key homestand. That combination puts Golden State in a strong position to win comfortably and, by extension, cover a -13.5 number.