
MST Game Picks & Analysis
MLB - World Series
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays – Preview
Friday, 8:00pm ET • Rogers Centre
Our Pick: Blue Jays Moneyline
Game 6 in Toronto sets up a classic contrast: the Dodgers ride ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto, while the Blue Jays hand the ball to veteran Kevin Gausman with a chance to clinch. First pitch is 8:00 p.m. ET on FOX at Rogers Centre.
Toronto returns home with a 3–2 series lead after Wednesday’s 6–1 win at Dodger Stadium, a game sparked by rookie Trey Yesavage’s 12 K masterpiece that swung momentum back to the Jays. Home field has been a genuine edge all year: the Blue Jays went 54–27 at Rogers Centre in the regular season.
The pitching matchup is elite on both sides, but it’s not lopsided. Yamamoto has been brilliant this October (1.57 ERA) and even authored a complete-game gem in Game 2—the first CG in a World Series since 2015—yet Toronto has already seen him once this series. Gausman, meanwhile, was quietly excellent over 193 regular-season innings (3.59 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) and owns a 2.55 ERA with a 0.93 WHIP this postseason. Those run-prevention and baserunner-suppression numbers matter against a Dodgers lineup pressing for answers.
At the plate, the Blue Jays have been the best contact/consistency club in October. They lead all postseason teams in batting average (.284) and also top the field in homers (27). The Dodgers lag behind at .236—still dangerous, but notably less efficient than Toronto’s attack. That gap has shown up lately: Los Angeles has produced only four runs across its last 28 innings, an extended dry spell that magnifies the value of Gausman’s splitter-first approach inducing weak contact early in counts.
Zooming out, this is a favorable situational spot for Toronto: momentum from a decisive Game 5 win, elite overall October bats, a proven frontline starter at home, and a crowd ready to push them over the line. The Dodgers are formidable—especially with Yamamoto—but the combination of Toronto’s contact quality, power balance, and Rogers Centre advantage puts the Jays in the best position to finish the job on the moneyline in Game 6.
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