Blue Jays vs. Yankees – Preview
Wednesday, 7:08pm ET • Yankee Stadium
Our Pick: Yankees Moneyline

Tonight’s ALDS Game 4 sets up well for New York: first pitch is 7:08 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium, where the Yankees went 50–31 this season and posted a .332 team OBP, second-best in the American League. Books reflect that edge with New York around a -170 moneyline entering the evening. Toronto leads the series 2–1, but the Yankees’ 9–6 comeback in Game 3 tilted momentum back toward the Bronx. 

On the mound, the Yankees hand the ball to rookie Cam Schlittler (4–3, 2.96 ERA), while Toronto counters with right-hander Louis Varland (4–3, 2.97) as the opener for what’s expected to function like a bullpen day. Those probables and plans are straight from the clubs and MLB, and they underline a stability advantage for New York—Schlittler in a true start versus a Jays staff likely to mix-and-match after heavy usage Tuesday. 

Game 3 offered a blueprint for how the Yankees can control this one: Aaron Judge’s three-run shot (his 17th career postseason homer) jump-started the rally, and New York’s bullpen slammed the door with 6⅔ scoreless frames after Carlos Rodón’s early exit. If the relief corps carries that form into tonight—and with the Jays’ pen coming off a taxing night—the late innings lean Yankees. 

Toronto’s lineup punch is blunted by injuries. All-Star shortstop Bo Bichette (left PCL sprain) was left off the ALDS roster, and rotation pillars José Berríos and Chris Bassitt are sidelined, shrinking the Jays’ run-prevention options. That context matters in a bullpen-forward game on the road against a Yankees offense that led the AL in homers during the regular season. 

Bottom line: New York owns a strong home profile (50–31), a contact-and-power attack that reaches base at an elite AL rate (.332 OBP), and a steadier Game 4 pitching plan behind Schlittler, while Toronto’s injuries and bullpen workload raise volatility. With the market pricing them as clear favorites and the series back in the Bronx, the Yankees are in the best position to cash the moneyline tonight.