Knicks vs. Pacers – Game 4 Preview
Tuesday, 8:00 p.m. ET • Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis
Our Pick: Pacers -2.5

The Indiana Pacers are back at Gainbridge Fieldhouse tonight for a crucial Game 4 of the 2025 NBA Eastern Conference Finals against the New York Knicks, looking to extend their 2–1 series lead. Despite a tough 106–100 loss in Game 3, where they allowed the Knicks to erase a 20-point deficit, the Pacers remain confident, well-positioned to cover the -2.5 spread tonight.

A key factor for Indiana will be bouncing back from an uncharacteristically poor shooting night from beyond the arc in Game 3, where they converted just 5-of-25 (20%) three-point attempts. Considering the Pacers typically shoot 37.2% from deep—among the league’s best—they are expected to regress positively to the mean. Tyrese Haliburton, a reliable shooter, will be critical in setting an aggressive offensive tone early.

Home-court advantage is another essential component in the Pacers’ favor. Indiana has dominated at home lately, winning eight of their last ten games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. The supportive environment and familiar conditions will undoubtedly boost their confidence and energy, especially after the recent setback.

The Pacers’ depth is another compelling advantage. Coach Rick Carlisle has effectively utilized his roster, finding valuable contributions from role players like Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard. Myles Turner’s presence in the paint on both ends of the court gives Indiana a decisive interior advantage, while the versatility and scoring ability of Haliburton will stretch the Knicks’ defense.

Conversely, while the Knicks’ Game 3 comeback highlighted their resilience, consistently relying on large-scale comebacks is challenging to sustain. Indiana’s adjustments to improve perimeter defense and limit Karl-Anthony Towns—who exploded for 20 fourth-quarter points in Game 3—will likely be focal points of their defensive strategy.

Key Stats to Watch:

• Pacers’ season average: 117.4 points per game, 48.8% FG.
• Indiana’s 37.2% three-point shooting expected to recover after a poor Game 3.
• Pacers’ strong recent home record: 8–2 in their last 10 home contests.

Given these factors, expect the Pacers to regain momentum and deliver a statement win, decisively covering the -2.5 spread and pushing the Knicks into a difficult 3–1 series hole.