NBA Game Picks & Analysis
Boston Celtics vs. New York Knicks
Celtics vs. Knicks – Game 3 Preview
Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET • Madison Square Garden, New York City
Our Pick: Knicks +6
As the New York Knicks prepare to host Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Eastern Conference Semifinals tonight at Madison Square Garden, they hold an unexpected yet commanding 2-0 series lead over the Boston Celtics. Despite entering the contest as 6-point underdogs, the Knicks have defied expectations throughout the series, showcasing resilience, depth, and strategic adjustments that position them well to cover the spread again.
The Knicks’ impressive defensive play has been the primary catalyst for their success so far. They’ve held the Celtics to just 35.6% shooting from the field and an abysmal 25% from three-point range, significantly disrupting Boston’s typically efficient offensive flow. OG Anunoby, in particular, has been instrumental in this effort, effectively neutralizing Celtics star Jayson Tatum, who has struggled mightily, managing only 28.4% from the floor. Anunoby’s defensive versatility and ability to contest shots without fouling has drastically limited Boston’s offensive options.
On the offensive side, the Knicks have benefited immensely from the clutch performances of Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns. Brunson has proven himself as a reliable playoff leader, averaging 29 points per game and demonstrating composure under pressure—particularly evident in his crucial free throws in Game 2. Towns’ dynamic Game 2 performance of 21 points and 17 rebounds highlighted the depth and versatility of New York’s lineup, especially when paired with Josh Hart’s unexpected yet pivotal 23-point outburst.
The Celtics face considerable pressure heading into tonight’s matchup. Their offensive strategy, heavily reliant on perimeter shooting, has faltered badly against the Knicks’ perimeter defenders. Boston has converted just 25-of-100 attempts from beyond the arc in the series, a statistic that emphasizes the need for adjustment. Without significant changes—such as diversifying their offense through better ball movement and increased penetration to the basket—Boston risks falling into an insurmountable 3-0 hole.
Given the Knicks’ home-court advantage, defensive intensity, and recent momentum, New York stands a strong chance not just to cover the 6-point spread but also to push the Celtics closer to playoff elimination. Tip-off is at 3:30 PM ET, with fans eagerly anticipating another high-stakes battle at the Garden.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
Timberwolves vs. Warriors – Game 3 Preview
Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET • Chase Center, San Francisco
Our Pick: Warriors +5.5
Game 3 of the NBA Western Conference Semifinals between the Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves heads to the Chase Center tonight, with the series delicately balanced at 1-1. Despite being listed as 5.5-point underdogs, the Warriors are positioned favorably to cover this spread, largely due to their resilience, playoff experience, and home-court advantage.
Golden State faces significant adversity without superstar Stephen Curry, sidelined with a Grade 1 hamstring strain. While Curry’s absence certainly impacts their offensive firepower, the Warriors have shown adaptability and depth that could bridge the scoring gap. Jonathan Kuminga notably stepped up in Game 2, leading the team with an efficient 18 points on 8-of-11 shooting, highlighting Golden State’s depth and ability to adjust strategically.
Jimmy Butler remains a critical piece for the Warriors. His playoff averages of 18.4 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 5.1 assists demonstrate his capability to lead and influence both ends of the court, particularly under playoff pressure. Alongside Butler, Buddy Hield’s sharpshooting remains an X-factor, especially considering his impressive 45.8% shooting from beyond the arc in the postseason.
The Warriors’ advantage also significantly lies in their playoff-tested leadership, with Draymond Green orchestrating their defensive schemes and energy on the court. His ability to disrupt Minnesota’s rhythm, especially Julius Randle’s playmaking capabilities, could prove crucial. Though Randle had a standout Game 2 performance, contributing 24 points and 11 assists, replicating such efficiency in a hostile road environment could be challenging.
The Timberwolves do pose threats, particularly with Anthony Edwards, who continues performing despite nursing an ankle injury. However, maintaining consistency and efficiency at Chase Center is historically challenging for visiting teams, especially during the playoffs.
Ultimately, the Warriors’ experience, home-court environment, and proven adaptability without Curry present them with a significant advantage to not only remain competitive but also cover the 5.5-point spread. Expect Golden State to leverage their strategic depth and playoff experience to turn tonight’s matchup into a closely contested battle, favoring their chances against the spread.
