
NBA Game Picks & Analysis
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
Rockets vs. Warriors – Game 6 Preview
Friday, 9:00 p.m. ET • Chase Center, San Francisco
Our Pick: Warriors –5.5
Golden State Warriors Aim to Clinch Series at Home Against Houston Rockets in Crucial Game 6
The Golden State Warriors are one victory away from advancing to the Western Conference Semifinals as they host the Houston Rockets tonight at Chase Center in a highly anticipated Game 6. Golden State currently leads the first-round series 3–2, and with home-court advantage on their side, they are well-positioned not only to win but also to comfortably cover the -5.5 spread.
Stephen Curry’s Pivotal Role
Stephen Curry continues to serve as the heartbeat of the Warriors’ playoff campaign. Throughout the 2025 postseason, Curry has averaged 23.4 points, 6.2 assists, and 4.8 rebounds per game. Although slightly below his regular-season scoring numbers, Curry’s timely baskets and playmaking have been instrumental in tight moments, especially at home. His leadership and playoff experience provide Golden State with an undeniable advantage, particularly in critical elimination scenarios like tonight’s matchup.
Jimmy Butler’s Defensive & Offensive Impact
Equally important has been Jimmy Butler, who has brought veteran presence and playoff toughness to the Warriors’ lineup. Butler is averaging 15.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game this postseason. His versatility and defensive tenacity have disrupted Houston’s rhythm offensively, often forcing turnovers and contested shots. Butler’s balanced play on both ends of the court significantly boosts Golden State’s chances, making them a more complete and cohesive unit compared to their younger opponents.
Dominance at Chase Center
Another factor clearly favoring the Warriors tonight is their stellar performance at Chase Center. Golden State has effectively capitalized on their home-court advantage throughout this series, having won both previous home matchups. Historically, the Warriors under coach Steve Kerr have excelled in closing out playoff series at home, especially when leading. The energized home crowd further enhances the team’s confidence and momentum, which often proves daunting for opposing teams.
Houston’s Struggles & Injury Issues
Conversely, the Rockets face significant challenges heading into Game 6. Their performance away from home has been notably weaker, characterized by offensive inconsistency and difficulty adjusting to defensive pressures. Houston has struggled defensively to contain Golden State’s ball movement and perimeter shooting, an issue exacerbated by injuries to key rotation players like Jock Landale and Jae’Sean Tate. These absences have weakened the Rockets’ defensive rotations and limited their flexibility, placing added pressure on young stars such as Jalen Green and Amen Thompson.
Additionally, the Warriors have strategically exploited Houston’s double-big lineup featuring Alperen Şengün and Steven Adams. Golden State’s quick passing, perimeter shooting, and mid-range effectiveness have successfully countered the Rockets’ interior defensive strength. Coach Kerr’s ability to make in-game adjustments further tilts the scale towards Golden State.
Conclusion
Given their home-court dominance, superior veteran experience from Curry and Butler, strategic depth, and Houston’s injury-related vulnerabilities, the Warriors are clearly favored to win tonight. Expect Golden State not only to secure the series but also convincingly cover the -5.5 spread in Game 6.